A New Method to Derive an Empirical Lower Limit on the Mass Density of a UFO
Abraham Loeb
preprint (arXiv astro-ph) · 2024
Loeb (2024) derives a model-independent lower bound on UAP mass from IR airglow flux, speed, and acceleration, and shows the bound is distance-independent when radial velocity is negligible, with Osmium (22.6 g/cm³) as the falsifying density threshold.
Brief
The paper presents a single inequality, M > L/|v × a|, bounding an aerial object's minimum mass from three observables: infrared airglow luminosity (L), speed (v), and acceleration (a). When an object's radial velocity is negligible, the formula collapses further to M > 4πf/|(dθ/dt × d²θ/dt²)|, eliminating distance as a required input, a significant practical advantage for ground-based observatories. The Galileo Project's first Harvard observatory captures ~10⁵ objects per month using an all-sky 'Dalek' array of eight uncooled infrared cameras; triangulation with multiple Daleks separated by miles was planned within one month of submission to provide distance measurements. The proposed falsifiability criterion is concrete: any object with volume-averaged mass density exceeding Osmium (22.6 g/cm³, the densest terrestrial metal) would require exotic material and would be classified as anomalous.
Metadata
- Category
- Phenomenon
- Venue
- preprint (arXiv astro-ph)
- Type
- Preprint
- Year
- 2024
- Authors
- Abraham Loeb
- arXiv
- 2412.12142
- Access
- Open access
- Length
- 65.4 K
- Programs
- Galileo Project
- Instruments
- Dalek all-sky infrared camera array (8 uncooled cameras, half-sphere mount)
- Tags
- UAP-physics, technosignature, infrared-detection, mass-density, observational-method
Key points
- Core inequality: M > L/|v × a|, object mass must exceed IR airglow luminosity divided by the product of speed and acceleration, bounding mass from measurable aerodynamic quantities alone.p.2
- Distance-independent special case: when radial velocity is negligible, M > 4πf/|(dθ/dt × d²θ/dt²)|, derived from angular velocity and angular acceleration of the sky-plane track and the measured IR flux.p.3
- Galileo Project Observatory 1 at Harvard collects data on ~10⁵ objects per month using eight uncooled all-sky infrared cameras arranged on a half-sphere ('Dalek' array).p.2
- Density anomaly threshold set at 22.6 g/cm³ (Osmium density); all human-made aircraft are described as orders of magnitude below this benchmark.p.3
- Objects exceeding Osmium density would require 'exotic material, not found on Earth,' making the threshold a hard, falsifiable filter for anomalous classification.p.3
- By summer 2025, three Galileo Project observatories across three U.S. states were projected to collect data on a few million objects per year, enabling statistical population-level application of the method.p.3
- A confounding factor is intrinsic IR emission from the object itself; resolving the object spatially is required to separate object emission from heated-air airglow.p.3
Verbatim
“The object's mass must be larger than the infrared luminosity from heated air around it, divided by the product of the object's acceleration and speed.”
p.2“A UFO with a higher mass density than Osmium would have to carry exotic material, not found on Earth.”
p.3“With new quantitative data on infrared luminosities, velocities and accelerations of technological objects, it would be possible to check whether there are any UFOs denser than Osmium.”
p.3
Most interesting
- The mass lower bound becomes fully distance-independent when an object's motion is primarily transverse to the line of sight, meaning existing single-station IR observatories can apply the filter without ranging hardware.
- Osmium at 22.6 g/cm³ is used as the falsifiability ceiling: every known human aircraft, including solid-metal components, sits orders of magnitude below it, making the threshold practically uncrossable by conventional technology.
- The Galileo Project's 'Dalek' camera array is described as eight uncooled infrared cameras on a half-sphere, the use of uncooled sensors makes large-scale deployment tractable but sets sensitivity limits that the paper does not quantify.
- The method requires the object to be spatially resolved in IR to separate self-emission from airglow; unresolved point sources would conflate the two and inflate the inferred luminosity, producing an artificially high mass lower bound.
- Loeb cites Zel'dovich & Raizer (1967), a Soviet-era shock-wave hydrodynamics text, as the foundational reference for the radiative efficiency of air friction, anchoring a 2024 UAP analysis in Cold War hypersonics literature.