A Search for Technosignatures Around 11,680 Stars with the Green Bank Telescope at 1.15-1.73 GHz
Jean-Luc Margot · Megan G. Li · Pavlo Pinchuk · Nathan Myhrvold · Larry Lesyna
The Astronomical Journal · 2023
Margot et al. (2023) searched 11,680 stars with the Green Bank Telescope L-band receiver across four observing sessions, confirmed all ~41 million candidate narrowband signals as anthropogenic, and placed a 95%-confidence upper limit that fewer than 6.6% of stars within 100 pc host a transmitter exceeding 10^13 W EIRP.
Brief
The UCLA SETI team used the 100 m GBT (1.15–1.73 GHz) to observe 62 TESS Objects of Interest, capturing emissions from ~11,680 stars over 2020–2023. Their pipeline detected 41.2 million narrowband signals; 99.43% were auto-rejected as RFI and all ~500 surviving candidates were confirmed anthropogenic on visual inspection, extending an 8-year record of 82 million detections with zero follow-up-worthy signals. A signal-injection analysis showed the UCLA pipeline recovers 94.0% of injected chirp signals (98.7% outside dense RFI bands), versus only 5.7% for a Breakthrough Listen-style incoherent-averaging pipeline, a difference that materially affects transmitter-prevalence calculations. The resulting upper limits are: at 95% confidence, fewer than 6.6% of stars within 100 pc host a transmitter with EIRP > 10^13 W, and fewer than 3×10^-4 of stars within 20,000 ly host one with EIRP > 5×10^16 W.
Metadata
- Category
- Search
- Venue
- The Astronomical Journal
- Type
- Peer-reviewed
- Year
- 2023
- Authors
- Jean-Luc Margot, Megan G. Li, Pavlo Pinchuk, Nathan Myhrvold, Larry Lesyna
- arXiv
- 2308.02712
- Access
- Open access
- Length
- 831.4 K
- Programs
- UCLA SETI, Breakthrough Listen, Project Cyclops
- Instruments
- Green Bank Telescope (GBT) L-band receiver 1.15–1.73 GHz, VEGAS baseband recording backend
- Data sources
- Gaia DR3 (Gaia Collaboration 2023), TESS Objects of Interest (TOI catalog), NASA Exoplanet Archive, Breakthrough Listen HSR power spectra (Ma et al. 2023 ML candidates)
- Tags
- SETI, technosignature, radio-astronomy, narrowband-search, pipeline-analysis, transmitter-prevalence
Key points
- Sample: 11,680 stars observed in 62 GBT beam pointings aligned with TESS Objects of Interest; median target distance 2,288 pc (7,461 ly), maximum 12,664 pc (41,305 ly).p.3
- Total detections across 8 years of UCLA SETI: 82 million narrowband signals; not one has merited follow-up observations.p.6
- UCLA pipeline end-to-end efficiency: 94.0% of 10,000 injected chirp signals recovered; 98.7% when dense-RFI frequency ranges are excluded. BL-like incoherent pipeline recovered only 5.7% of the same injections, roughly 16× worse.p.7
- The BL-like pipeline's poor recovery stems from Doppler smearing: 51-spectrum incoherent averaging extends integration to ~17 s, causing drift rates above ±0.15 Hz/s to smear across frequency bins; only 99.1% of BL-recovered signals had drift rates within ±1 Hz/s.p.7
- 95% confidence upper limit: fewer than 6.6% of stars within 100 pc host a transmitter detectable with EIRP > 10^13 W; for the 20,000 ly volume, the fraction is at most 3×10^-4 at EIRP > 5×10^16 W.p.1
- Sensitivity benchmark: an Arecibo Planetary Radar equivalent (EIRP = 2.2×10^13 W) is detectable at 415 ly; 1,000 Arecibos at 13,123 ly; transmitters at the galactic center would require 4,130 Arecibo equivalents.p.5
- Of the 8 ML-identified candidate signals from Ma et al. (2023), the UCLA pipeline natively detected 5 (MLc3–5, MLc7–8) without invoking ML; all were subsequently identified as RFI via presence in OFF scans.p.7
- Narrowband technosignature rationale: natural astrophysical masers (narrowest reported OH maser: 550 Hz) are roughly two orders of magnitude wider than the proposed <10 Hz threshold, making any sub-10 Hz detection unambiguously non-natural.p.2
Verbatim
“It is remarkable that, in over 82 million narrowband signal detections obtained during an 8-year period (Table 1), not a single signal has merited follow-up observations.”
p.6“Based on our observations, we can state at the 95% confidence level that fewer than 6.6% of stars within 100 pc host a transmitter that is detectable in our search (EIRP > 10 13 W). For stars within 20,000 ly, the fraction of stars with detectable transmitters (EIRP > 5 × 10 16 W) is at most 3 × 10 − 4 .”
p.1“The UCLA SETI pipeline recovers 94 . 0% of the injected signals over the usable frequency range of the receiver and 98 . 7% of the injections when regions of dense radio frequency interference are excluded.”
p.1“An example of such a technosignature is a narrowband (say, < 10 Hz at gigahertz frequencies) signal from an emitter located beyond the solar system. Detection of a signal with these characteristics would provide sufficient evidence for the existence of another civilization because natural settings cannot generate such signals.”
p.2“With these parameters, an Arecibo Planetary Radar (EIRP=2 . 2 × 10 13 W) is detectable at 415 ly and a thousand Arecibos can be detected at 13,123 ly.”
p.5
Most interesting
- The Breakthrough Listen-style incoherent pipeline is effectively blind to signals drifting faster than ±0.15 Hz/s, yet the UCLA pipeline's drift-rate ceiling of ±8.86 Hz/s is needed to cover ~73% of confirmed exoplanet orbital accelerations.
- A single GBT beam at 1.42 GHz (8.4 arcmin) sweeps up 11,680 stars per survey field, most of them serendipitous background targets rather than the 62 primary TESS Objects of Interest.
- Citizen scientists on arewealone.earth are inspecting tens of thousands of the ~230,000 signals that survived automated rejection, an embedded crowd-sourced vetting layer within a professional survey.
- The probability of an accidental frequency+drift-rate match in the injection-recovery analysis is less than one in a billion, establishing the injection test as a high-confidence pipeline audit.
- Over the full 8-year UCLA SETI program, 55,555 stars have been observed; the cumulative Modified Drake Figure of Merit reached 3.37×10^33 Hz²·m³·W^(-3/2).
- The narrowest known OH maser line (550 Hz at 1612 MHz) is roughly 55× wider than the <10 Hz bandwidth threshold that would render a radio signal unambiguously non-astrophysical.