CEFAE Informe de Resoluciones de Casos 2015

Brief

CEFAe's 2015 report enumerates 10 cases submitted via its public web form, each analyzed through a combination of direct observation, photographic and video examination, astronomical simulation via Stellarium, and satellite-tracking software. Nine of 10 cases resolved as OVIs (Objetos Identificables), including misidentified stars, planets, satellites, aircraft navigation lights, a bird, and — most notably — a sphere whose pixel-level motion analysis revealed parabolic trajectory despite the witness denying any ball was present. The lone formally unresolved case (Martín Muñiz, Quilmes) lacked photographic or video evidence; testimony was deemed compatible with a laser pointer. The commission frames the high OVI rate as evidence that honest misidentification dominates the field, and explicitly requires in-person confrontation at its office for any challenge to be considered scientifically valid.

Metadata

Agency

Comisión de Estudio de Fenómenos Aeroespaciales (CEFAe) / Fuerza Aérea Argentina

Release

2016-01-01

Type

PDF • .pdf

Length

12 pages

Classification

UNCLASSIFIED

Programs

CEFAe

Tags

Argentina, 2015, OVI/IFO, CEFAe, stellar misidentification, aircraft navigation lights, satellite pass, helicopter, laser pointer, annual report, Capilla del Monte, Stellarium

Key points

• Nine of 10 analyzed cases for Nov 2014 – Nov 2015 were formally resolved as OVIs (Objetos Identificables); one case remained unresolved solely because the witness submitted no photographic or video evidence.p.1
• The stated analytical methodology combines direct observation, image analysis, and Stellarium astronomical simulation alongside satellite-tracking software to rule out natural and technological causes; multiple external specialists are consulted on contested cases.p.1
• Parque Nacional Iguazú case (26 Nov 2014): filmed object identified as the star Rigel (β Orionis), confirmed via Stellarium matching the witness's reported date, time, and geographic position.p.3
• Carlos Paz case (1 Jan 2015): multiple objects identified as a simultaneous combination of the ENVISAT satellite, ISS Zarya, and the variable pulsating star β Grulla, confirmed in simultaneous sky-position coincidence.p.5
• Sergio Canteros case (2 Jan 2015, Ituzaingó): sphere identified as a small ball thrown in air; pixel-level analysis of a 1/909-second exposure detected an imperceptible upward motion consistent with the apex of a parabolic trajectory, even though the witness explicitly denied having a ball.p.6
• Martín Muñiz case (3 Mar 2015, Quilmes): the only formally unresolved case — no photo or video submitted; the red circular light testimony is deemed compatible with a laser pointer or laser sight projected from over 100 meters.p.11
• Acceso Oeste case (28 Jul 2015): triangular slow-moving lights identified as a helicopter's port-side navigation lights; the witness's report of audible engine sound was described as compatible with piston-engine helicopters.p.12
• CEFAe explicitly states that dissent posted on social media or internet forums without in-person confrontation of results will not be recognized as valid scientific opposition.p.1

Verbatim

• Si bien la totalidad de los casos aquí analizados, han resultado compatibles con causas de origen conocido, constituyen sin embargo testimonios muy valiosos desde el punto de vista de la investigación OVNI, especialmente en la corroboración de la existencia de un abrumador porcentaje de OVIs (Objetos Identificables) que resultan de interpretaciones honestas pero erróneas, en las que se han confundido objetos ordinarios con extraordinarios.

  p.1

• A efectos de mantener un máximo nivel de transparencia, si eventualmente surgieran discrepancias con las conclusiones aquí expuestas, se invita a que las mismas sean presentadas personalmente por quien aduzca oposición, en nuestra Oficina, trayendo consigo pruebas contundentes que demuestren lo contrario.

  p.1

• El objeto filmado es compatible con la estrella "Rigel" ( β Orionis) en perfecta coincidencia con el cuadrante observado en: fecha, hora y ubicación geográfica del testigo

  p.3

• Los objetos fotografiados y observados durante el intervalo de tiempo son compatibles con una combinación de paso del satélite ENVISAT, la Estación Espacial Internacional (ISS Zarya) y la estrella pulsante variable β Grulla, en simultánea coincidencia con el cuadrante observado en fecha, hora y ubicación geográfica del testigo.

  p.5

• … no llevaban ninguna pelota con ellos

  p.6

• de la ampliación del mismo y del análisis de pixelado surge que la esfera exhibe un casi imperceptible movimiento vertical, compatible con la parte alta de una trayectoria parabólica.

  p.6

• luz de forma circular, de unos 50 cm. de diámetro, color rojo, con bordes bien definidos, giros abruptos, que "cruzó la calle" y luego parecía "estar en la pared "

  p.11

Most interesting

• CEFAe uses the taxonomic category 'OVI' (Objetos Identificables) rather than a simple 'not a UFO' dismissal — a formal classification that frames resolved cases as data points in a comparative ufology framework, not mere debunks.
• Stellarium astronomical software was used retroactively to match sky quadrant, date, time, and geographic coordinates to known celestial objects, making the identification methodology reproducible and falsifiable.
• The Sergio Canteros case is the most methodologically elaborate entry: despite an explicit denial from the witness, sub-pixel motion analysis at 1/909-second shutter speed revealed parabolic trajectory consistent with a thrown ball — a result that overrode witness testimony on physical grounds.
• The Martín Muñiz case formalized a two-input scientific requirement: testimony plus physical evidence. Absence of the second input produces no resolution, regardless of how specific or unusual the testimony is.
• Four separate cases involved objects noticed only after reviewing photographs after the fact — a 'post-processing discovery' pattern CEFAe identifies as a key driver of misidentification reports.
• External collaborator Vicente-Juan Ballester Olmos — a Spanish researcher known for large-scale IFO database work — contributed to the Canteros resolution alongside Argentine analyst Ariel Maderna.
• The Carlos Paz case involved three distinct sky objects simultaneously visible: a dead satellite (ENVISAT, decommissioned 2012), an active crewed space station (ISS), and a variable pulsating star — illustrating the compounding ambiguity of multi-object nighttime sightings.
• Capilla del Monte, location of the Mariana Rodríguez case (resolved as a bird in frame), is among Argentina's most culturally significant UAP sites — the report treats it as an ordinary photographic artifact case without special notation.